Gold Silver

Gold, Silver, And The Coming Deep Winter Of The Dollar

We have been trained during the last 30 years to expect the impossible.

Here is the narrative: Growth and prosperity are perpetual, expected, and demanded. Wealth is a right and everyone can and should be a massive and aggressive consumer. All mainstream and government planning and analysis is to be framed, filtered, and massaged with this expectation as the pre-determined outcome. Any and all evidence to the contrary is to be dismissed as mere sideways moments in the long march to pandemic wealth.

This is one of those lies so huge and ridiculous it passes for the truth because so many repeat the fantasy regardless of any historical or logical validity or parallel. Take a moment to consider how impossible that is and then contemplate the seasonal and cyclical nature of all life and all earth and human processes.

We have firmly entered into what is called the Winter Business Cycle, which is characterized by the “death” of leveraged paper assets (the dollar and its many dollar-denominated derivatives) and a retreat into “real” physical things, generally known as hard assets. It is very easy to understand hard assets such as gold, silver, producing land, commodities in general, etc., because they are things of universal value and need, and therefore represent a preservation of value. In short, everyone either needs these items (cattle, lumber, eggs, petroleum oil) or these assets are of eternal value, at all times and in all places, regardless of government decree (gold, silver, copper, etc.).

What is the narrative based on reality?

Prosperity leads to the demand for more, and endless, prosperity. This is realized by an exponential rise in public and private debt leading to unsustainable levels of debt overhang. And the real kicker is this: Debt is no longer taken on to create opportunities but to sustain the status quo and to maintain our fantasy and to deny reality. Anyone who has gone through a bankruptcy knows exactly how this plays out. As the crunch of economic implosion limits your options you do anything to maintain what you have come to regard as “normal.” You keep doing everything except the obvious – accept your loses and scale back and retreat into a sustainable level.

There are two diametrically opposed and completely opposites narratives. On one hand you have an economy that is recovering, government policies are correct and working, and the citizen consumer is back on the treadmill of buying and spending, or at least headed that way. The contrary story is that the world is burdened and soaked to the bone with debt, there’s no plan or possibility of a plan or known model for growth that could facilitate this massive debt repayment, and the amount of cut backs and austerity required to is beyond the political will of all the Western democracies.

If you are emotionally and psychologically committed to the first narrative, you continue to store all of your faith and wealth in the official system and their fiat paper money. That is why our current system is known as a Confidence Economic Model – you have confidence in the fidelity of the government and their economic stewardship. If you feel the second story matches what you seeing and experiencing (or believe there is a strong possibility this is even partially true), you take your money out of the system, on a percentage basis, and place it into assets like gold and silver (known as hard-asset money) because it is highly probable a massive financial-currency-debt crisis is unfolding. This is a retreat into what is called a Value Economic Model.

And for the record it is mathematically and historically certain, in fact it is a 100% probability, that the US Dollar system will fail. To be even clearer the current paradigm has already failed and the final collapse is guaranteed by an estimated world-wide $100 Trillion dollar debt cancer. That means paper money failure, and that is the financial winter of our discontent. It is the natural and right course of nature and reality.
All of the players (the IMF, the World Bank, the BIS, etc), have at last come to the sane and reality-based conclusion that there’s too much debt and that there is no way on earth this debt can be paid back. They know this scenario has only two outcomes: either over-indebted countries will be allowed to fall -and the living standard of their citizens will be crushed, or the global fiat paper system will suffer a cataclysmic failure.

Which narrative do you believe and are willing to bet everything on?

About the Author

Aaron Kutchinsky is a writer, lecturer, and committed financial activist.

In 2010 Aaron created and founded Guardian Gold & Silver as a definitive and groundbreaking alternative to the gold industry norm, a mission-oriented and revolutionary precious metals company with 3 specific goals in mind:

•    Do the right thing.

•    Lead others to understanding.

•    Get as many into the boat as possible.

It is extremely important to understand the current world financial paradigm shift, which is now well underway. Please visit http://www.guardiangoldandsilver.com for more information and insights, and to request our Special Report.

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